HOW WE WOULD / 07 · BLACK FRIDAY / ECOMMERCEFictional scenario. No client data
Black Friday: what deserves to sell more?
An offer customers want. An outcome worth delivering for the store.
Sales
01 / THE SITUATION
Which combination of products, offer and budget can support growth?
Imagine an online store preparing for Black Friday eight weeks ahead. It has existing customers, products with different margins and stock it wants to sell. The team suggests a store-wide discount and a larger advertising budget. We would start by choosing what deserves promotion, what each offer can support and how much the business can deliver as promised.
The business
A fictional store with its own stock, online sales and an order history. Actual data would determine the selection, budget and campaign window.
The objective
Commercial contribution and sales of selected stock, with orders fulfilled on time. New customers and existing buyers are tracked separately.
The constraint
Available stock, margin after discount, cash and fulfillment capacity can limit useful volume.
STARTING DECISION / FOR THIS SCENARIO
Approve the offer matrix before producing the campaign.
Choose products, stock limits and contribution requirements. Build creative, landing pages and operating checks around those approved offers.
WHAT COULD CHANGE THE CHOICEIf the promotion only moves low-margin stock at a loss, change the offer or leave those products out.
02 / WHAT WE WOULD CHECK
Start with the questions that matter.
Working hypotheses
01
The discount uses up the margin
Fictional example: a net price of RON 300, product cost of RON 160, other variable costs of RON 20 and advertising of RON 50 leave RON 70. A 20% discount with the same costs leaves RON 10, before fixed costs and taxes.
WHAT WE WOULD TESTWe would calculate each product or bundle’s economics, including estimated return costs within variable costs and avoiding double counting.
02
The offer and stock do not match
Products attracting clicks may have few variants available, while the stock selected for the campaign remains hard for customers to choose.
WHAT WE WOULD TESTWe would select products and bundles by demand, availability and contribution, with alternatives ready when a variant sells out.
03
Orders exceed capacity
Payment, inventory synchronization, the warehouse or support can become bottlenecks as volume rises.
WHAT WE WOULD TESTWe would test the purchase journey, agree realistic delivery promises and name who can reduce advertising or withdraw an offer.
The evidence we would need
Offer economics
Prices and discount history, product costs, fees, delivery, returns and remaining margin. We would check the reference price and displayed terms before approving the communication.
Stock and operations
Available quantities by variant, existing reservations, confirmed replenishment, daily fulfillment capacity and support coverage. We would distinguish available stock from expected deliveries.
Customers and earlier campaigns
What new and existing customers bought, acquisition costs, returns and subsequent purchases. We would also compare the periods before and after the promotion.
CREATIVE DIRECTION / A USEFUL SELECTION
On your list. In our selection.
CREATIVE PROPOSAL / ILLUSTRATIVE EXAMPLE
03 / THE CREATIVE IDEA
How the idea could take shape.
We would organize the campaign around recognizable buying needs: a product someone has been considering, a useful set or a gift chosen early. Each selection would explain who it suits, what is included, its price and delivery timing. The discount supports the choice; the product and its usefulness lead the communication.
BEFORE / EMAIL AND CONTENT
What is on your Black Friday list?
Introduce categories and useful selection criteria. An optional reminder, with the person’s permission, would announce when the offer opens without implying that stock is reserved.
DURING / ADS AND CAMPAIGN PAGE
Find the selection that fits you.
Connect each ad to its relevant offer, with available products, clear prices and delivery timing. Creative variations would test the need, product and bundle.
AFTER / PRODUCT EMAIL
Your order has arrived. Make the most of it.
Continue with useful product information, support and a well-timed request for feedback. Later recommendations would reflect the actual purchase.
04 / WHAT WE BUILD
From an idea to an experience that works.
What the project would deliver
01
An offer matrix
Approved products and bundles, price, stock, estimated contribution and acceptable advertising cost. Define what stops, what can receive budget and who approves changes.
02
The campaign and purchase journey
Concept, copy, creative adaptations, campaign page, emails and advertising setup. Check payments, promotional codes, stock and confirmations on mobile and desktop.
03
An operating and measurement plan
A shared view of spend, confirmed orders, cancellations, stock and delays. Named owners for campaigns, the site, fulfillment and support, with fallbacks for foreseeable problems.
05 / HOW WE MEASURE
Measure the objective, one step at a time.
01Contribution after variable costs
Reconciled net revenue minus products, advertising and other variable costs, treating cancellations and returns consistently. Update the estimate after the relevant return window.
02Selected campaign stock
Units sold against the quantity available in the promoted selection, by product and variant. Track contribution too, to understand the cost of clearing stock.
03Fulfilled orders
Successful payments, orders dispatched on time, cancellations and support requests. Additional orders need support all the way through delivery.
04Customers and the following period
New customers, repeat purchases and observed contribution after the campaign. Check whether the promotion shifted purchases from other weeks or started new customer relationships.
The figures above are hypothetical. Platform ROAS alone does not establish the store’s contribution. We would use deduplicated orders and comparable periods; conclusions about additional campaign effects would depend on an appropriate test where volume allows.
LIMITS / BEFORE WE COMMIT
What we would hold back, and what would change the plan.
What we would not do yet
The same discount across the catalog before reviewing margin and stock.
More advertising spend while payment, fulfillment or support is already constrained.
Resetting countdowns, false stock claims or delivery promises the business cannot support.
What would change our mind?
With demonstrated demand, sufficient contribution and available capacity, we would test budget increases on working offers. If clearing old stock is the main objective, we would separately agree on the minimum acceptable contribution and the cost of holding that stock. A narrower campaign may be the right choice.
The working sequence
First understand. Then test and adapt.
01 / 8-5 WEEKS BEFORE
Choose the offer
Review history, customers, economics and stock, then approve the selection, budget limits and delivery promise.
02 / 4-1 WEEKS BEFORE
Build and check
Prepare the page, creative, emails and campaigns. Test orders, measurement, stock and intervention scenarios before launch.
03 / DURING AND AFTER
Operate and evaluate
Review spend, estimated contribution and fulfillment daily. After returns, reconcile the results and assess the next steps for customer relationships.
An illustrative sequence; timing and investment follow the real context.
Facing a similar situation?
What should Black Friday leave behind in your business?